A high pressure system far to the ENE of the islands has a weakening ridge of high pressure stretched out from its center…into the area NE of Hawaii. Gale low pressure systems in the middle latitudes will push this high pressure ridge southward towards Hawaii…with a corresponding drop in trade wind speeds Saturday and Sunday.
which is near 10,000 feet in elevation. These two webcams are available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon rising just after sunset for an hour or two! Plus during the nights and early mornings you will be able to see stars and the sunrise too…depending upon cloud conditions.
- Here’s the latest information coming out of the covering the eastern north Pacific. You can find the latest tropical cyclone information for the central north Pacific (where Hawaii is located) by clicking on this link to the. Here’s a covering both the eastern and central Pacific Ocean.
To view the cloud conditions we have here in Hawaii please use the following satellite links starting off with the
The most recent computer forecast models continue to change their minds…pretty much on a daily basis! This makes it a little difficult to get a good handle on exactly what will be taking place during the next week in terms of our local weather conditions. Although as best as I can translate this information to you it looks like this:
Storminess in the middle latitudes of the north Pacific however will help to push our trade wind producing high pressure ridge down closer to the islands soon. This in turn will soften our local winds although keep them coming out of the trade wind direction. Whatever showers that will be around will fall mostly along the windward sides.
Saturday - another good day although a transition day between our trade wind weather pattern and the approach of a rather weak cold front to our northwest.
The winds will remain on the light side although the weather in general will remain dry in most areas. This cold front will begin moving into the Kauai end of the state during the night…bringing showers to that northwestern most island first.
Sunday - a not very aggressive cloud band will move down through the island chain…that is if it doesn’t stall before arriving.
This band of clouds however will bring some showers with it with the most generous amounts likely restricted to the windward sides of the islands. Perhaps the most notable thing about this weak cold front will be the cool north to NE breezes that will filter into the state in its wake.
Monday through Friday - this is where it gets more tricky although it appears that somewhat unsettled weather will prevail during this extended forecast period.
The models have been doing a good bit of flip flopping in regards to this time frame that’s for sure. "Unsettled weather" in this case simply means that there will be an increased chance of scattered showers around. The winds will remain from the NE direction during the first half of next week with the best chance of showers focused over the windward sections. An upper level trough of low pressure may trigger a few heavy showers during the first several days of the new week. We’ll have to fine tune will happen during the Thanksgiving holiday as we move through the next few days.
It’s Friday evening here in islands as I start writing this last paragraph of today’s narrative.
As you can tell from reading down through the weather paragraphs above if you had the time or inclination there is still a fair amount of uncertainty about what is on our weather horizon up ahead. This isn’t all that unusual for the deeper autumn month of November as conditions change more suddenly and without as much warning as during the more placid summer season. I will do my best to pick through all the various weather information sources to keep you abreast of the latest changes. I still don’t see any serious weather problems through the next week however although it will remain changable.
This evening I’ll be seeing one of the new films playing at a theatre in Kahului called
Freshly graduated from college with a promising future. 22 year-old Christopher McCandless instead walked out of his privileged life and into the wild in search of adventure. What happened to him on the way transformed this young wanderer into an enduring symbol for countless people.
I’ll be back later in the day with some further details including my evening plans for after work." If this sounds like your cup of tea try viewing this.
I’ll be back early Saturday morning with your next weather narrative updates. I hope you have a great Friday night wherever you happen to be spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
Aloha Glenn– My question is why the other islands in Maui County are not depicted on the map of Maui which is labeled \’Island swell shadow for Maui\’? These other islands (Kahoolawe. Lanai and Molokai) seem to be the islands which produce this shadow and as such would be very valuable in looking at the shadow. Matt
Matt good question. I will add those other islands soon. Thanks for pointing that out to me. Aloha. Glenn
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